UDK: 612.171.7

FORECASTING THE COURSE OF CHRONIC HEART FAILURE IN PATIENTS WITH MITRAL VALVULAR DISEASE

A. N. Kalyagin

Иркутский государственный медицинский университет, клиническая больница № 1, Иркутск

Abstract

We discuss forecasting the course of chronic heart failure in patients with mitral-aortal valvular disease. The study was performed on patients with verified diagnosis of valvular disease and chronic heart failure. An analysis of risk factors was carried out, and a forecasting model using logistical regression was made. An automated system of calculations using of Excel tables is proposed.

Keywords

chronic heart failure, rheumatic heart diseases, mitral-aortal valvular disease, risk factors, influence on risk factors, logistical regression, forecast

Contacts

Калягин Алексей Николаевич — к.м.н., заместитель главного врача по терапии Клинической больницы № 1 г. Иркутска, доцент кафедры пропедевтики внутренних болезней Иркутского государственного медицинского университета, e-mail: akalagin@mail.ru